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Strategy · Income

Dividend quality: yield you can trust

A dividend is the one number a company can't fake for long — it's cash, leaving the building. The trick is making sure it can keep leaving.

The ruleDividend yield ≥ 2% · operating cash flow covers interest expense at least 3× · positive free cash flow.

How it works

Yield alone is a trap. The highest yields often belong to companies whose share price has collapsed right before a dividend cut. So this screen asks three questions:

  1. Is the yield meaningful? At least 2% of the share price paid out over the last year.
  2. Are lenders safe? Operating cash flow covers interest payments at least three times over. Lenders get paid before shareholders, so a squeeze here hits the dividend first.
  3. Is there cash left after investment? Free cash flow must be positive. A company paying dividends out of borrowed money is only postponing a cut.

Why it works

Dividends discipline management. Money paid out can't be spent on a vanity acquisition. A steady payout also tells you the profits are real, because accounting earnings can be adjusted but cash cannot. For investors, dividends give a return even when the price goes nowhere, and they make it easier to hold on through a crash.

The track record

S&P 500 stocks, grouped by dividend policyPeriodAnnualized return
Dividend growers & initiators1973–202510.2%
Non-payers1973–20254.2%

Per Ned Davis Research and Hartford Funds, dividend growers also had lower volatility (standard deviation ~16% vs ~22%).1 Jeremy Siegel's research reached a similar conclusion: most of the stock market's long-run return comes from reinvested dividends.2

The catch

Today's darlings

These are the companies that pass the screen right now, ranked the way the screener ranks them. Figures come straight from each company's SEC filings, updated every night. We filter out obvious data oddities (one-time special dividends, blank-check shells, sub-$50M micro-caps) so the list shows names worth a closer look — not recommendations.

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See every match, with the arithmetic

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Sources
  1. Hartford Funds / Ned Davis Research, "The Power of Dividends: Past, Present, and Future".
  2. Siegel, The Future for Investors (2005).

Educational content, not investment advice. Past performance — of people, papers, or backtests — doesn't guarantee future results. Do your own homework before buying anything.